Saturday, March 21, 2009

Fat cat squeezing under the fence - AIG, Bankers squeezing into our yard with Geithner's active help!

Easy does it! Slow and steady.

First, an itty-bitty subprime fiasco.

Then, a housing bust.

Next, a bailout of AIG on the quiet. Tell the public AFTER you’ve given them the money.

How about some spice? Sprinkle a bit on Fannie and Freddie.

Say it aint so, Lehman’s.

Now, pour $700 billion down the Bank drains.

Oh no! it’s time for AIG once more.

How about some theatrics during the intermission about the Auto industry?

Ah! Time again for AIG!

Not enough?

Let’s put together a TRILLION dollars. It will go to buy the same toxic assets that have been bought again and again, first directly from the banks themselves, then again from the banks via AIG, and now once again…

Like the fat cat squeezing under the fence, we have Corporate bigwigs squeezing into our yard - thanks to help from politicians (like Christopher Dodd) who rewrite the law in the dark of the night to provide loopholes, and a Treasury Secretary who is anxious to please the bigwigs by freely giving away our money!


Oh look, the head came through!




















Oh no, the fat cat is half way in!



















Whoops! He's all the way into our yard!





















Jeez! He's settled in!

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Wrapped in TARP

Have you heard of the story of the Camel and the Arab?

It is an interesting story. A story with a moral that we would do well to learn about. A story with an uncanny parable to the behemoth, too-big-to-fail, too-large-to-be-kicked, thumbing-its-nose-at-you AIG's relationship with the American Taxpayer.

Once upon a time, an Arab was riding his camel across the desert. It was a dark, cold winter. Night was upon him and he decided to take a break. So he set up camp in the desert sand and pegged down his tent. He laid his fine wool carpet on the sand floor of this tent. Then he went outside and lit a fire, cooked his meal over the crackling, smouldering wood, smoked his hookah, downed some wine and finally decided to turn in, into his warm tent. No sooner than he fell asleep, he heard a snort and a head poked into the flap of his tent.

It was his camel. The camel beseeched him to let him keep its head in the tent as the wind was howling loudly and it was very cold outside the tent. So the kind-hearted Arab let the camel keep his head in the tent. In a few minutes the camel edged in further into the tent - upto its shoulders. The Arab protested, but the camel gave him a woebegone look and begged to be allowed to keep his shoulders inside the tent as it was freezing outside. So the Arab took pity on the camel and allowed him to stay half way inside his tent. As the night progressed, the camel pushed in more and more into the tent. Slowly, insidiously, the Arab was shoved outside the tent, until suddenly, he found himself outside the tent, bracing the cold, winter storm, while the camel slept cosily inside the tent.

What does this story remind you of?

AIG and the American Taxpayer!

At first, it was a $5o billion bailout that the public was not even informed about until after it was paid. Before we knew it, the Government had bailed out AIG. They didnt have to come with their begging bowls to Congress like the Automakers had to. They just told Paulson to slip 'em one and they were paid. We were presented with a fait accompli.

Then it was another $80 billion. And so on until AIG now has the largest infusion of Government money in history. As more and more money gets poured down AIG's drain, the company gets more and more arrogant. No one can question them any longer. There are no rules they play by. There is no integrity, honesty or shame. They know, as did the Arab's camel, that once they have their grimy hands on so much of taxpayer money, there is no option but to continue to bail them out, regardless of how they behave. Hark the latest of AIG's ignominious behavior: paying $164 million in retention (what the??) bonuses to the very executives who have run the company aground!

Like the Arab's camel, we shouldn't have let them into our tent in the first place. Now they are wrapped in our TARP and we have been shoved out of our tent!

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Obama's Housing plan and the Responsible Renter

There is a cry of injustice in the air.

This is from people who have been responsible renters. They question the fact that they are being asked to bailout irresponsible homeowners who have bought larger homes than they can afford and are now going into foreclosure. They point out the unfairness of Obama's housing rescue plan to people who have been renters . They aver that it is better for home prices to fall due to foreclosures, so that finally, they too, can afford to buy homes that they can now afford.

A completely fair question. A very fair concern. And a very fair free-market expectation.

Let me see if I can help address this concern. Before I start to make my point, I want to clarify: I do not personally stand to gain from Obama's Housing rescue plan. Not a cent. While I am not an Economics expert, I do try to see both sides of the coin and am trying to look at the economy as a whole.

This downturn has affected all of us and is a danger to this country's long term stability. From that standpoint, it is important to go to the source of what started off this cascading disaster. The subprime loan fiasco and the foreclosure of homes has been identified by experts as the root cause of this economic meltdown. So, it makes sense that we fix the cause and not the symptoms of the illness.

Job losses, failing banks and auto companies, unemployment lines, disrupted children and families, increase in number of people without health care... all these are symptoms of the disease that has taken hold of our economy. The root cause is the housing market collapse.

As long as most people were diligently paying their mortgages, the banks continued on their merry route to making more and more money. Everything was fine. The sun shone.

As the subprime market started to melt, we felt the first tremors of the housing market. Like any untreated illness, the disease soon spread to other areas and now we have otherwise healthy mortgages failing, sometimes due to a job loss, sometimes due to forces beyond a homeowner's control and sometimes due to the sheer irresponsibility of being overextended on debt. As more and more homes started to foreclose, it brought home prices down all across the country. Responsible homeowners were now upside down on mortgages that they have been paying diligently. They owed more than their house was worth. And so began more defaults leading to the avalanche of sliding home prices.

In order to staunch that bleeding, the Obama administration has correctly addressed the root cause: stem the foreclosures.

But what does that do for renters?

Now, there are two types of renters: ones that will probably always rent their whole lives for a variety of reasons - maybe they are nomadic, or they love the freedom of not being tied down to a home or they choose to rent for a variety of economic reasons. The housing meltdown does not affect them significantly, other than the fact that their rents probably came down a bit - they now have more bargaining power because there are many more homes for rent in the market.

The second kind of renter is the one who, with the falling prices, can now finally afford to buy a home. These are the people who have protested Obama's Housing rescue plan vociferously. They feel they can now finally afford a home because home prices are where they should be.

Nobody is arguing the validity of their point.

But here is my opinion: if a renter can now finally afford to purchase a home, there is no dearth of foreclosed homes to purchase. Allowing foreclosures to continue unchecked will cause great danger by letting the markets go into a free-fall until the entire economy collapses. And a collapsing economy will certainly hurt everyone. Even though a renter can finally afford to purchase, he/she may not be able to get a loan as banks which have been singed by defaulting homeowners will now be extra careful about giving loans to new homeowners. In addition, even if banks are willing to lend, they do not have the money to do so.

This situation reminds me of the "dog and pebble" story that Indians love to tell - When one finds a stray dog and wants to aim a pebble to chase it off, one cannot find the right sized pebble. And if there is a right sized pebble, a stray dog is nowhere in sight.

Likewise, this feeling of being able to take advantage of the foreclosure market. Homes are now available and affordable, but loans are harder to get. And with more homes being foreclosed, the cascading effect on the economy as a whole, is terrible to contemplate.

So, Renters! The govt. is not just using our hard-earned tax dollars to benefit irresponsible homeowners. The dollars are actually being used to prop up our economy by fixing the root cause of the disease, so that we all may have jobs, stable homes and health care.

Foreclosures are a lose-lose for EVERYONE - homeowners, lenders, banks, renters and new purchasers. If we take a step back and look it from a bird's eye view, we will see that Obama's plan, while not perfect, will eventually help prop up the economy, IF carried out without interference from vested interests.

But that's a big IF.

Thursday, March 5, 2009

Obama's Housing Rescue Plan and the Responsible Homeowner

There is an uproar in the air.

Rants like the ones by the (in)famous Rick Santelli, has people up in arms, about not wanting to pay for their neighbor's mortgage. Rick's rant reminds me of the Sudanese people who protested the International Criminal Court's arrest warrant for their President, who has been accused of committing war crimes and genocide against the people of Darfur. The depths of ignorance that encourages such great manipulation is stunning. That the very same people whose friends, neighbors and relatives have been the target of genocide, now protest the arrest warrant of the person who is responsible for the genocide, is at best very sad and at worst, another crime of exploitation against the ignorant. Like the Sudanese, some of our people are being misled, once again, by the likes of Rick Santelli. I know the example of manipulation and exploitation I gave above is hard-hitting, but the point is this: we shouldn't miss the forest for the trees. Let us not cut off our noses to spite our face.

Obama's plan to rescue homeowners who are stuck in high interest, fancy mortgages that they are unable to pay has gotten a lot of people's (especially Republicans!) knickers in a bunch. Many have said that they do not want to rescue irresponsible people who have taken out a larger mortgage than they can afford or bought a larger house than they can afford.

For one second, lets set aside the fact that the taxpayer is rescuing irresponsible banks and financial companies to the tune of many billions, even though many have knowingly sold bad mortgages to people by misleading, mis-stating or misinforming them. That is a debate for another blog post.

Even if the American taxpayer was not rescuing the banks and financial industries, I would still recommend we stand by Obama's plan to rescue the distressed homeowner.

Why do I say this? It is not because I stand to gain personally. No, I will not benefit from Obama's plan, so there is no vested interest here. The reason I support Obama's plan, even though it is not perfect, is this: If there is ever a chance that the housing market recovers and by virtue of its tight interconnection, the financial markets recover, the only hope is to stem the foreclosures.

The banks which are opposing or dampening the extent of Obama's homeowner rescue package are continuing to exhibit the very same behavior that caused this collapse: that of greed, selfishness and short term mercenary avarice. What they do not understand is this: foreclosure benefits no one. NO ONE!. Not even the neighbor who has been very meticulous is paying his mortgage, very responsible in buying the home he can afford and who now resents having to rescue someone he considers irresponsible.

When a home in a neighborhood goes into foreclosure, all the bank is interested in, is to retrieve the principal they put into it. The homeowner might have had about 10% or 20% invested in the home. But the bank will very easily price the home down to get it off its books. What does that do to a neighbor's home, the one who has been responsibly paying his mortgage? It automatically brings the value of his house down to match that of the foreclosure. In the end, as more foreclosures hit a neighborhood, the value of all the properties go down - it no longer matters if they are foreclosed or not.

So it is in the best interest of ALL of us, even those who have been religious about paying our mortgages, to stem foreclosures. The money spent will eventually benefit EVERYONE, not just the ones who are being rescued.

And Obama's plan, tries to achieve some of it (provided the banks don't lobby the House and Senate to add their riders to mangle the plan.)